Berto 22-0(19) has brutally KOd his way into this WBC welterweight title fight, stopping all but three of his opponents to date. Two of the which went the distance were only 4-rounders, and in the other, against Cosme Rivera, Berto was down himself in the 6th round. Rivera by the way, had only been stopped once in ten defeats going into the fight.
In his last two fights, Berto stopped Miguel Rodriguez and Michel Trabant, neither of whom had been stopped before.
Berto has some serious pop. His opponent, fellow American Forbes 33-6(9) is best known for his stint on The Contender and more recently as an Oscar De La Hoya warm-up opponent. Forbes is in fact 1-3 in his last four fights, and how he merits a title shot is a little unclear.
Anyway, the winner of this fight is in very little doubt. The question is, will Forbes, who despite six career losses has yet to be stopped, be able to go the distance with Berto?
At a best-priced 8/13 to win by decision (with Bet365) Berto’s power may have been underestimated. 33/1 is available on Berto to win from round 3 onwards (with 40/1 available on both rounds 1 and 2) and this seems the better value route to take. Dutching rounds 3 and up pays nearly 5/2 but given Forbes’s solid chin we’ve gone from the mid rounds.
Recommendation:
Berto in rounds 6,7,8,9,10,11,12 7/2* with Boyelsports and BetFred 1pt
* based on dutching rounds 6,7,8,9,10,11,12 to a total of 1pt (20% of bank) For instance, if bank is £500, 1pt=£100. £14.30 is placed on each of rounds 6-12 at 33/1. The winning round pays 14.3*33 which equals £471.90, and a total of £486.20 once stake is returned. For a total outlay of £100, this returns effective odds of just over 7/2
Posted by boxingbets 
